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Red124
8659.0
341051.6
365332.2
Blue71
152350.2
422411.4
164915.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979640608012014016018012471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#2
59.01.7
33.134.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1523
#32
50.21.4
49.047.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3410
#11
51.61.5
41.943.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.8
1649
#44
15.81.6
27.525.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
32.21.7
21.623.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
4224
#38
11.42.2
20.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End