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Red13
45177.4
238337.4
519624.8
Blue121
80163.8
136928.2
190235.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59127010015020025013121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#14
37.42.8
43.040.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.4
801
#4
63.80.2
63.864.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5196
#26
24.84.4
20.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
1902
#16
35.30.2
29.029.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4517
#42
7.44.4
6.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
1369
#28
28.20.2
23.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End