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Red305
17972.8
393242.0
18093.6
Blue126
106568.7
411854.3
459240.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21715650100250300350400305126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
93.61.6
93.294.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
1065
#13
68.70.7
69.468.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#7
72.81.6
72.474.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
4118
#17
54.30.7
55.054.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3932
#22
42.01.6
41.643.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
40.50.7
41.240.5
Auto
Teleop
End