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Red148
8659.0
125152.6
453324.9
Blue201
402644.4
74459.8
34851.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131161050100200250300148201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#2
59.00.2
58.859.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
744
#21
59.80.7
59.860.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
52.60.2
52.452.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
348
#9
51.90.7
52.052.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4533
#29
24.90.2
24.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
4026
#19
44.40.7
44.445.1
Auto
Teleop
End