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Red14
255629.3
187212.2
365912.9
Blue39
16044.2
125128.6
402410.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69390501001502001439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#47
29.33.4
32.729.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1251
#26
28.60.3
28.227.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3659
#35
12.93.4
16.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4024
#21
10.60.3
10.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1872
#55
12.23.4
15.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1604
#59
4.20.3
4.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End