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Qual 1042014 Orlando Regional
Red116
362726.8
177266.6
490126.6
Blue165
242512.5
38340.8
152349.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13081050100150200250116165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1772
#13
66.60.3
68.9→68.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.6
1523
#5
49.04.7
45.4→50.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3627
#41
26.80.4
27.3→26.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.0
383
#7
40.84.7
35.9→40.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4901
#25
26.60.3
26.5→26.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.1
2425
#43
12.55.1
7.4→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—