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Red100
80142.6
23348.3
365912.9
Blue40
40641.7
191232.6
45637.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10461015020025010040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#1
48.30.2
51.952.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
456
#29
37.52.3
25.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
#22
42.60.2
27.027.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1912
#37
32.62.3
29.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3659
#35
12.90.2
18.418.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
4064
#40
1.72.3
12.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End