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Red161
142155.1
125128.6
355632.9
Blue102
459234.9
238326.9
470727.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97570150200161102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#27
55.15.9
42.448.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
4592
#39
34.93.3
16.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.95.9
20.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
4707
#57
27.83.3
18.421.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1251
#26
28.65.9
27.933.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2383
#58
26.93.3
27.630.8
Auto
Teleop
End