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Red146
445151.4
208022.8
152349.0
Blue125
291618.1
106562.3
470727.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9989050150200250300146125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#12
51.42.4
51.854.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
1065
#17
62.32.9
56.259.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.04.0
28.332.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
4707
#57
27.82.9
19.622.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2080
#42
22.84.0
17.521.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2916
#51
18.12.9
14.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End