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Red80
187630.2
483319.0
362726.8
Blue93
40641.7
125128.6
411845.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609001502002508093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1876
#32
30.20.7
30.130.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
4118
#11
45.20.6
45.145.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3627
#41
26.81.2
16.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1251
#26
28.60.6
33.634.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4833
#52
19.01.2
18.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
4064
#40
1.70.6
6.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End