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Red5
365912.9
242512.5
355726.9
Blue121
164927.5
159266.5
155740.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3911601001502002505121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3557
#20
26.93.8
20.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.6
66.51.4
46.848.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3659
#35
12.93.8
21.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.1
1557
#24
40.01.4
31.532.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2425
#43
12.53.8
8.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
1649
#33
27.51.4
25.527.0
Auto
Teleop
End