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Red100
476921.3
324211.1
38340.8
Blue46
50096.3
38621.7
191232.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6144010015010046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#7
40.83.2
30.333.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1912
#37
32.60.1
24.324.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4769
#31
21.33.5
19.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
386
#45
21.70.1
19.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3242
#61
11.13.2
8.411.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
5009
#62
6.30.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End