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Red102
411845.2
242512.5
401326.3
Blue68
136923.9
35029.6
190225.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7249010015020025010268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#11
45.22.6
44.346.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
1902
#38
25.71.2
32.834.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4013
#54
26.32.6
19.522.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1369
#48
23.91.2
10.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2425
#43
12.52.6
4.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
3502
#49
9.61.2
9.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End