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Red54
35029.6
125128.6
365321.6
Blue140
38340.8
8633.1
80142.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49109015020054140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#26
28.60.3
28.528.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
801
#22
42.62.9
36.038.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3653
#50
21.60.3
19.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
383
#7
40.82.9
33.636.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3502
#49
9.60.3
10.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.6
86
#30
33.12.9
30.032.9
Auto
Teleop
End