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Red78
187630.2
445151.4
17938.8
Blue86
279733.4
38340.8
136923.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138870502002503007886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#12
51.42.6
54.752.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
383
#7
40.80.6
36.535.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#9
38.83.5
41.538.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
2797
#14
33.40.6
34.033.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1876
#32
30.22.6
33.731.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1369
#48
23.90.6
24.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End