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Red206
152345.1
125151.6
393229.7
Blue136
155732.6
18087.1
190228.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119152050100200250300350206136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
Unranked
51.61.4
50.952.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.4
180
Unranked
87.10.2
86.986.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1523
Unranked
45.11.4
44.345.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1557
Unranked
32.60.2
32.532.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3932
Unranked
29.71.4
28.930.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1902
Unranked
28.00.2
27.927.7
Auto
Teleop
End