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Red50
106554.5
365322.9
152345.1
Blue10
215219.2
411847.0
744B15.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581140501002002503005010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1065
Unranked
54.55.1
68.763.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4118
Unranked
47.05.5
54.348.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1523
Unranked
45.15.1
50.245.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
2152
Unranked
19.25.5
36.631.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3653
Unranked
22.95.1
32.227.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
744B
Unranked
15.45.2
15.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End