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Red31
155732.6
3502-4.1
459232.4
Blue83
125151.6
238327.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110101502002503003183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1557
Unranked
32.61.8
33.131.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
1251
Unranked
51.60.6
50.449.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4592
Unranked
32.41.8
33.331.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2383
Unranked
27.60.6
31.631.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3502
Unranked
-4.11.8
0.3-1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
2152B
Unranked
4.31.0
12.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End