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Red70
8645.3
74455.1
29164.4
Blue83
393229.7
125151.6
152345.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134133501001502007083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
Unranked
55.13.1
59.856.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1251
Unranked
51.62.6
52.650.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
86
Unranked
45.33.1
59.055.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1523
Unranked
45.12.6
45.142.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2916
Unranked
4.43.4
13.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
3932
Unranked
29.72.6
37.434.8
Auto
Teleop
End