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Red68
241550.3
455318.6
100223.8
Blue36
507412.8
414816.4
281519.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85350501001502006836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#11
50.30.5
45.144.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.9
2815
#19
19.50.4
16.816.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
#35
23.80.8
14.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4148
#60
16.40.6
12.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4553
#45
18.60.8
18.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
5074
#53
12.80.6
13.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End