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Red120
474947.6
414816.4
408035.0
Blue155
179528.8
423524.2
445911.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6634050100150120155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4749
#22
47.64.9
19.124.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
1795
#36
28.89.7
18.127.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4080
#14
35.04.9
30.235.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
4235
#28
24.29.7
14.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4148
#60
16.44.9
11.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4459
#51
11.79.7
5.915.6
Auto
Teleop
End