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Qual 332014 Peachtree Regional
Red110
241550.3
326534.5
529324.4
Blue300
297461.5
168353.9
418939.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8493050150200250300110300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#11
50.31.2
41.8→43.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.2
2974
#12
61.510.4
49.5→59.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3265
#38
34.52.1
23.5→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.4
1683
#24
53.917.4
19.2→36.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5293
#33
24.42.1
19.9→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.7
4189
#27
39.117.4
22.5→39.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—