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Red136
164846.2
533228.2
34348.9
Blue151
474947.6
513222.9
131962.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828560100120140136151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#13
48.92.7
41.944.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
62.43.3
48.051.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1648
#10
46.22.7
30.933.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4749
#22
47.65.5
24.029.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5332
#25
28.24.4
10.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
5132
#30
22.95.5
12.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End