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Qual 392014 Peachtree Regional
Red146
500427.4
450972.9
418845.4
Blue18
507412.8
470118.6
334415.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11448015020025030035040014618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#5
72.93.5
52.3→55.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 54.4
4701
#20
18.63.4
30.0→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4188
#9
45.43.5
37.1→40.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 30.0
3344
#59
15.43.4
16.7→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5004
#46
27.43.5
14.6→18.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.6
5074
#53
12.83.4
11.9→8.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—