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Qual 42014 Peachtree Regional
Red5
533228.2
332920.2
414925.3
Blue15
521912.1
529324.4
83225.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40710100150200250515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#25
28.217.5
28.2→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
832
#50
25.52.5
37.8→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4149
#61
25.33.3
15.0→11.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
5293
#33
24.414.7
24.4→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3329
#58
20.23.3
15.6→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.1
5219
#64
12.12.3
12.1→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—