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Qual 502014 Peachtree Regional
Red105
332920.2
110251.4
334415.4
Blue126
507412.8
409255.7
179528.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47890100150200105126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#3
51.44.3
31.1→35.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.3
4092
#8
55.72.2
48.5→50.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3329
#58
20.24.3
9.1→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.6
1795
#36
28.83.6
25.6→29.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3344
#59
15.44.3
13.3→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
5074
#53
12.83.6
8.5→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—