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Red50
322410.7
418939.1
445911.7
Blue150
83225.5
10850.8
164846.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629805015020025050150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#27
39.11.5
39.938.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
108
#7
50.84.8
31.436.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4459
#51
11.71.5
12.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.6
1648
#10
46.22.9
33.536.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3224
#56
10.71.5
15.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
832
#50
25.52.9
27.029.9
Auto
Teleop
End