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Red181
34348.9
110251.4
455318.6
Blue41
510920.9
418939.1
416311.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9856015020025018141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.47.4
35.442.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
4189
#27
39.11.8
38.436.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
343
#13
48.94.5
45.549.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.0
5109
#34
20.91.8
12.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4553
#45
18.67.4
11.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
4163
#63
11.51.8
11.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End