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Qual 662014 Peachtree Regional
Red136
474947.6
331845.9
419329.8
Blue105
414925.3
228356.9
334415.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12587050150200250300350136105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4749
#22
47.61.4
43.8→45.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.3
2283
#32
56.90.6
56.8→57.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3318
#6
45.91.4
39.8→41.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.6
4149
#61
25.31.0
20.9→21.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4193
#31
29.81.4
35.7→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.4
3344
#59
15.41.0
15.5→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—