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Red150
533228.2
363525.0
131962.4
Blue91
241550.3
411236.7
381512.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049005015020025015091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.42.4
55.157.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
2415
#11
50.30.1
47.747.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5332
#25
28.24.0
25.229.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
4112
#37
36.70.1
29.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3635
#29
25.04.0
21.825.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
3815
#40
12.30.1
15.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End