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Red81
369415.4
179528.8
322410.7
Blue111
416311.5
500427.4
137932.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4958010015020081111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
#36
28.82.5
24.927.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1379
#21
32.64.5
30.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3694
#39
15.42.5
16.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
5004
#46
27.44.5
15.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3224
#56
10.72.5
9.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
4163
#63
11.54.5
10.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End