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Qual 742014 Peachtree Regional
Red121
297461.5
510920.9
408035.0
Blue105
507412.8
153929.7
313924.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117390100150200250300350121105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#12
61.50.8
58.3→59.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 31.8
1539
#16
29.72.7
21.8→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4080
#14
35.01.4
35.4→36.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
3139
#57
24.84.5
20.6→25.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5109
#34
20.91.4
10.8→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
5074
#53
12.84.5
9.0→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—