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Red71
381512.3
281519.5
7958.7
Blue42
332920.2
168353.9
369415.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93930501502007142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#2
58.71.1
56.054.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1683
#24
53.93.9
52.548.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2815
#19
19.51.1
22.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3329
#58
20.23.9
21.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3815
#40
12.31.8
15.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3694
#39
15.43.9
18.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End