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Red100
409255.7
313924.8
322410.7
Blue175
326534.5
414816.4
131962.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8598050150200250100175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.6
53.854.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
62.43.9
60.164.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3139
#57
24.80.9
23.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
3265
#38
34.56.1
25.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3224
#56
10.70.9
9.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4148
#60
16.45.7
10.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End