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Qual 882014 Peachtree Regional
Red77
281519.5
297461.5
419329.8
Blue165
360025.1
533228.2
450972.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116116809010011012013014015077165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#12
61.52.0
62.1→60.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.5
4509
#5
72.93.5
69.8→73.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4193
#31
29.82.8
32.6→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
5332
#25
28.23.5
24.7→28.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2815
#19
19.52.0
21.4→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.7
3600
#15
25.13.5
21.9→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—