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Qual 912014 Peachtree Regional
Red159
168353.9
500427.4
419523.6
Blue155
411236.7
414925.3
456614.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97460150200250300159155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#24
53.95.0
48.6→53.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.2
4112
#37
36.77.3
29.5→36.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5004
#46
27.45.0
22.4→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
4149
#61
25.37.3
18.0→25.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4195
#43
23.65.4
18.2→23.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
4566
#49
14.17.3
6.8→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—