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Red78
151538.2
266530.6
348015.3
Blue154
177576.4
71410.2
55868.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73188010030040078154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#74
38.20.7
36.535.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.2
1775
#30
76.40.8
82.781.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2665
#79
30.60.7
35.134.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.1
558
#15
68.70.8
73.072.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3480
#95
15.30.7
19.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
714
#99
10.20.8
15.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End