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Red137
300841.7
497919.8
428838.2
Blue153
425657.8
110861.5
471933.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71156050100200250300350137153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#62
41.72.7
27.730.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
1108
#32
61.50.5
57.858.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4288
#75
38.22.7
36.238.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
4256
#51
57.80.5
51.351.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4979
#94
19.82.7
19.922.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
4719
#35
33.90.5
33.834.3
Auto
Teleop
End