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Red158
368376.3
131054.7
350437.8
Blue190
453636.0
177576.4
297446.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190164050100250300350400158190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#21
76.31.4
81.780.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1775
#30
76.41.1
81.883.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1310
#17
54.71.4
60.258.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
2974
#82
46.51.1
49.250.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3504
#61
37.81.4
43.842.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4536
#76
36.01.1
36.938.0
Auto
Teleop
End