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Red52
77116.2
35331.7
31916.8
Blue208
501232.3
49468.9
76629.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51134010015020025030035052208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#14
31.70.6
38.137.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.2
494
#20
68.94.3
70.775.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
771
#100
16.20.6
17.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
5012
#41
32.34.3
26.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3191
#98
6.80.6
8.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.5
766
#46
29.24.3
23.828.1
Auto
Teleop
End