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Red125
247142.8
428838.2
514827.8
Blue37
71410.2
498523.1
499125.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11158015020025030012537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#47
42.81.1
39.941.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
4991
#43
25.31.4
27.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4288
#75
38.21.1
38.639.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
4985
#81
23.11.4
25.123.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5148
#45
27.81.1
24.625.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
714
#99
10.21.4
13.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End