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Red143
310332.5
133451.1
313846.4
Blue179
425657.8
297446.5
21766.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331790100200300400143179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#57
51.10.2
57.257.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
217
#29
66.80.4
65.165.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
#49
46.40.2
49.149.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
4256
#51
57.80.4
56.356.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3103
#88
32.50.2
33.333.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
2974
#82
46.50.4
50.350.7
Auto
Teleop
End