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Red175
121868.6
242429.6
33746.1
Blue101
177576.4
513712.6
428838.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142130050100200250300350175101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#54
68.61.8
67.869.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1775
#30
76.41.5
77.976.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
337
#72
46.11.8
44.346.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4288
#75
38.21.5
39.738.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2424
#97
29.61.8
27.929.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
5137
#91
12.61.5
14.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End