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Red125
131054.7
102381.5
406015.5
Blue151
6792.5
4557.5
313846.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154219050100250300350400125151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.51.9
87.385.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
67
#5
92.52.9
98.996.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1310
#17
54.71.9
58.957.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
45
#33
57.52.9
60.457.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#90
15.51.9
17.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.9
3138
#49
46.42.9
49.346.4
Auto
Teleop
End