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Red16
85747.8
499125.3
494020.8
Blue270
131872.1
4557.5
497919.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78166010020030040016270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#52
47.83.8
47.844.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.3
1318
#18
72.15.9
78.784.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4991
#43
25.34.2
25.120.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.2
45
#33
57.55.9
55.161.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#92
20.84.2
18.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
4979
#94
19.85.9
18.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End