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Red176
491750.9
83684.2
348015.3
Blue182
131872.1
35331.7
131054.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471880100300400176182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#7
84.21.1
79.580.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1318
#18
72.10.0
84.684.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4917
#84
50.91.1
48.950.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1310
#17
54.70.0
65.565.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3480
#95
15.31.1
24.725.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
353
#14
31.70.0
31.731.8
Auto
Teleop
End