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Red127
171776.9
95562.2
97353.5
Blue107
297446.5
121868.6
110861.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187194050100150250300350400127107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.93.0
69.566.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1218
#54
68.64.3
75.771.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
#36
62.23.0
60.957.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1108
#32
61.54.3
58.354.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
973
#31
53.53.0
57.554.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2974
#82
46.54.3
59.054.7
Auto
Teleop
End