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Red168
85747.8
131054.7
298017.8
Blue124
22851.7
512254.8
514524.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115135050200250300350168124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#17
54.72.5
65.568.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
5122
#73
54.80.4
56.155.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
#52
47.82.5
44.647.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
228
#59
51.70.4
54.353.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#40
17.82.5
8.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
5145
#86
24.00.4
21.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End