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Red138
233777.7
76629.2
499125.3
Blue108
496531.4
188550.0
297446.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120135050100200250300350400138108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#60
77.70.8
82.883.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.7
1885
#67
50.01.2
57.756.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
766
#46
29.20.8
21.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
2974
#82
46.51.2
54.753.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4991
#43
25.30.8
18.519.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4965
#56
31.41.2
20.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End