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Red156
331644.9
350437.8
12663.2
Blue100
497919.8
331059.8
513712.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15195050200250300350156100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#12
63.20.7
58.158.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3310
#71
59.80.2
64.564.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3316
#83
44.90.7
43.043.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.1
4979
#94
19.80.2
20.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3504
#61
37.80.7
41.141.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
5137
#91
12.60.2
18.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End